Blue Blood programs will go head-to-head in Monday’s championship game of the 2022 NCAA tournament. The Kansas Jayhawks take on the North Carolina Tar Heels, with Kansas coming in as the No. 1 seed and UNC coming in as the No. 8 seed. Kansas defeated Villanova in the Final Four by a 16-point margin, improving their record to 33-6 and capping a 10-game winning streak. North Carolina, in its first season under Hubert Davis’ leadership, upset Duke in the national semifinals and improved to 29-9 overall and 17-3 in their last 20 games.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Jayhawks as four-point favorites in New Orleans for this pick at 9:20 p.m. ET. The total points Vegas believes will be scored, or the over-under, is 151 in the latest Kansas vs. North Carolina odds, two points shy of the opening line. Before making your choice between North Carolina and Kansas, be sure to check out SportsLine’s Matt Severance’s 2022 NCAA Tournament Predictions.
Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has been in the industry since 2005. He’s on a stunning run: He’s a stunning 105-73-4 on his last 182 college basketball picks against the spread, returning a $2,400-$100 spread in the process. Whoever followed him is way up.
Now, Severance has set its sights on Kansas vs. UNC and just laid out his picks and college basketball predictions for March Madness 2022. You can now go to SportsLine to see his tips. Here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for UNC vs. Kansas:
- Distribution between Kansas and UNC: Kansas -4
- Kansas vs. UNC Over-Under: 151 points
- Kansas vs. UNC money line: Kansas -210, UNC +175
- KU: The Jayhawks are 7-5 against the spread in games on neutral sides
- UNC: The Tar Heels are 6-4 against the spread in games on neutral sides
Why Kansas can cover
Ochai Agbaji is considered one of the most talented players on the floor. Agbaji is a two-way winger who is emerging as a potential lottery pick in the upcoming 2022 NBA draft, and he scored 21 points as he netted six 3-pointers against Villanova in the national semifinals. For the season, Agbaji is averaging 18.9 points and 5.1 rebounds with a 41.0 percent mark from 3-point range, and he is the 2021-22 Big 12 Player of the Year. Joining Agbaji is a strong and talented squad, including talented winger Christian Braun, who connected with a pair of dagger threes in the second half against Villanova, and David McCormack, who took the lead with 25 points and nine rebounds indoors in the final-four -Tilt.
Kansas is a terrific shooting team with a 53.9 percent effective field goal percentage, and the Jayhawks are very good on offense. Kansas is catching more than 33 percent of its own misses, and the Jayhawks are anticipating a very low-grossing game against North Carolina. Kansas only commits a giveaway on 17.4 percent of holdings, and North Carolina is one of the worst teams in the country when it comes to generating sales. The Tar Heels rank outside the top 300 for revenue generation rate (13.7 percent) and theft rate (7.4 percent).
Why North Carolina can cover
The Tar Heels have clear advantages in this matchup, led by a dynamic offense. North Carolina is close to the top in the country in terms of offensive efficiency and points per game, and the Tar Heels have a devastating starting unit that inflicts seizures on the opponent. North Carolina is making more than 36 percent of 3-point attempts for the season, and the Tar Heels excel in the possession struggle, securing more than 31 percent of available offensive rebounds and turnover on just 16.4 percent of possession commit.
Kansas underperforms on defense at revenue generation rate (18.1 percent), and the Jayhawks have a steal rate of just 9.0 percent. The Jayhawks also underperform on the glass, securing just 72.2 percent of available defensive rebounds. When it comes to defense, North Carolina leads in two key areas: North Carolina ranks second in the nation for defensive rebound rate (78.4 percent) and firmly in the top 10 in the country for allowable free throw rate. Keeping Kansas off the free-throw line will be of paramount importance, and the Tar Heels should be up to the challenge.
How to make Kansas vs. North Carolina picks
For North Carolina vs. Kansas, Severance leans on the overall score, but he also says a critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must. He only shares at SportsLine what it is and which side of the UNC vs. Kansas has spread backwards.
Who will win North Carolina vs. Kansas? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Kansas vs. North Carolina distribution to jump to, all from the expert who crushed his college basketball picks, and find out.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/north-carolina-vs-kansas-odds-2022-ncaa-tournament-title-game-prediction-march-madness-picks-by-top-expert/ North Carolina vs Kansas Odds: 2022 NCAA Tournament Title Game Prediction, March Madness Picks by Top Experts