Chiefs are early favorites for Super Bowl LVIII, ahead of Bills, Eagles, 49ers and Bengals

The Chiefs are again favored to win next year’s Super Bowl. According to BetMGM, the Chiefs open at +600 to win Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas. Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes have played in three of the last four Super Bowls and won two of those Super Bowls.

Cincinnati has the second best odds at +850. The 49ers (+900), Eagles (+900) and Bills (+900) complete the top five teams with the best odds of taking home the Lombardi Trophy in a year. No other teams have odds below +1000 (10-to-1).

Super Bowl 58 will take place on Sunday February 11, 2024 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. It will mark the first time Las Vegas has hosted the Super Bowl and should make for a wild weekend in Sin City.

It’s easy to see why the Bills, Eagles and Bengals are favorites. They solidified the quarterback position with elite quarterbacks. The 49ers are the exception and will have to make decisions this offseason. Will San Francisco stick with Brock Purdy, Trey Lance or go in a completely different direction?

An interesting team with higher than expected odds are the New York Jets at +2500, the ninth best odds. The Jets finished the year 7-10 and finished bottom in the AFC East. Since the start of the offseason, rumors have swirled about Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers possibly joining the Jets. Jets players won both offensive (wide receiver Garrett Wilson) and defensive (defensive back sauce Gardner) Rookies of the Year.

The Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Chargers both top the list after successful seasons that ended with changes in the offensive coordinator role for both teams. Former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore will now lead the Chargers offense, while Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy will now announce games for Dallas.

The Houston Texans — the No. 2 pick in the 2023 NFL draft — have the worst odds at +30,000. The Indianapolis Colts (+15000) and the Arizona Cardinals (+25000) round out the bottom three.

Projection model also favors Chiefs

The Chiefs go into next season as Super Bowl favorites under the model led by the athleteis Austin Mock. The model gives the Chiefs a 15.0 percent chance of winning, ahead of the Eagles at 13.4 percent. The Bills (12.0 percent) and 49ers (10.8 percent) are the only other teams with double-digit odds.

The next tier has the Cowboys at 8.9 percent and the Bengals at 6.4 percent. The four teams with the highest odds are the Bears, Buccaneers, Colts and Texans.

Early Super Bowl Predictions

Jay Morrison: Gimme the Bengals over the 49ers. At a Super Bowl, did you have the two teams that lost in the previous year’s conference championship game? If yes, then go; there is priority. If not, well, it’s about damn time. Neither the Bengals nor the 49ers are going away. They are built to last at least a few more years. I could easily imagine both teams hosting their respective championship games next year and carrying that advantage into Super Bowl LVIII.

Nick Kosmider: San Francisco will eventually have better quarterback luck, right? Whether it’s Lance, Purdy or anyone else, the 49ers’ immense talent on both sides of the ball will make San Francisco a championship contender again, and this time they have a quarterback to help them get through the playoff squeeze past a Cincinnati team that’s going nowhere.

Josh Kendall: Kansas City via San Francisco. Many people have gone broke trying to outsmart Las Vegas. I won’t be that guy. Kansas City is the favorite for a reason. The Chiefs have appeared in five straight AFC championship games and three of the last four Super Bowls. Mahomes will be back. We assume Andy Reid will be back.

(Photo by Patrick Mahomes: Christian Petersen/Getty Images)